Verification in an Age of Insecurity: The Future of Arms Control Compliance

Verification in an Age of Insecurity takes the reader into some of the most urgent arms control issues facing the world community, including the nuclear activities of rogue states and threats from sophisticated non-state actors. In the book, national security expert Philip D. O'Neill, Jr. identifies and addresses issues from the resuscitated disarmament agenda, from the comprehensive test ban to fissile material and biological weapons. O'Neill examines the need for shifts in verification standards and policy suitable for our volatile era and beyond it. He surveys recent history to show how established verification procedures fail to produce the certainty necessary to meet today's threats. Verification in an Age of Insecurity goes beyond a discussion of rogue states like North Korea to offer suggestions on how best to bring compliance policy up to date with modern threats.

I.INTRODUCTION: RISKY BUSINESS; II. THE EVOLUTION OF CERTAINTY; A. INTRODUCTION; B. THE SUPERPOWER ERA; (I) THE ROLE OF PARITY; (II) THE ADEQUACY OF VERIFICATION; C. THE POST-COLD WAR PERIOD; D. THE NEW INSECURITY; III. THE PRICE OF INTRUSION; A. INTRODUCTION; B. THE TRADITIONAL CALCULUS; C. THE POLITICAL PRICE; D. MANAGED ACCESS; E. DISARMAMENT; (I) THE TRILATERAL INITIATIVE; (II) NORTH KOREA: A FUTURE TEST CASE?; (A) "ATTRIBUTE" VERIFICATION; (B) DISPOSITION; (III) PRINCIPAL PROBLEMS; (A) LEGAL RESPONSIBILITY: WHO PAYS?; (B) PRACTICAL CONCERNS; F. THE LIMITS OF COOPERATIVE INTRUSION; IV. CHALLENGES ON THE HORIZON; A. PROBLEMS IN PRINCIPLE; B. METRICS IN CONTEXT; C. SELECTED ISSUES; (I) BIO SECURITY; (II) FISSILE MATERIAL; D. PROCESS CONSIDERATIONS; E. ENFORCEMENT PREDICTABILITY