Thinking and Deciding

Beginning with its first edition and through subsequent editions, Thinking and Deciding has established itself as the required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this, the fourth edition, Jonathan Baron retains the comprehensive attention to the key questions addressed in the previous editions - How should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? - and his expanded treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Bayes theorem, and moral thinking. With the student in mind, the fourth edition emphasises the development of an understanding of the fundamental concepts in judgement and decision making. This book is essential reading for students and scholars in judgement and decision making and related fields, including psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business. Contents
Preface
Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?
2. The study of thinking
3. Rationality
4. Logic
Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability
6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment
7. Hypothesis testing
8. Judgment of correlation and contingency
9. Actively open-minded thinking
Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Normative theory of choice
11. of choice under uncertainty
12. Choice under certainty
13. Utility measurement
14. Decision analysis and values
15. Quantitative judgment
16. Moral judgement and choice
17. Fairness and justice
18. Social dilemmas
19. Decisions about the future
20. Risk.

Author/Editor Details
Jonathan Baron, University of Pennsylvania